Yesterday, The Fix moved North Carolina from toss-up to lean Romney, echoing aprediction PoliticOlogy made about two months ago: that the Tarheel State would make its 2008 Democratic shift a one-time swing, and revert back to its Republican ways.
Obama was the first Democrat to win North Carolina since History’s Greatest Monster. But despite a thirteen-point swing to the Democrats in 2008, North Carolina barely awarded Obama its 15 electoral votes: he grabbed just 14,000 more votes than John McCain. Still, the state had moved enough to the left to get the DNC’s attention. The Democratic Convention will be held in Charlotte this year, and the DNC is spending big on ads, possibly enticed by the state’s 111% growth in Hispanic population in the past decade.…Read More