Tag Archives: poll

Are Negative Ads Working For Obama?

(Read the full article here: Are Negative Ads Working For Obama?)

Buried in an otherwise dumb USAT/Gallup poll on Monday is this nugget:

In the battlegrounds, one in 12 say the commercials have changed their minds about President Obama or Republican Mitt Romney — a difference on the margins, but one that could prove crucial in a close race.

At this point, Obama is the clear winner in the ad wars. Among swing-state voters who say the ads have changed their minds about a candidate, rather than justconfirmedwhat they already thought, 76% now support the president, vs. 16% favoring Romney.

This is exactly what the Obama campaign has been working hard to hear. If half of Romney’s entire campaign logic (complimenting the “Obama = economy = bad” half) is “Romney = businessman = good,” the counterstrategy of the Obama campaign has been to simply call that bluff. What kind of businessman was Romney? If he was successful, who benefited from his success, stockholders or workers? Why did so many Bain companies go backrupt, especially while Bain profitied? How has Romney faired in transferring his business acumen to the executive before, given Massachusetts underperformingemployment rate under his tenure? … Read More

 

Follow on Ology: Evan McMurry |  PoliticOlogy

Follow on Twitter: @evanmcmurry  |  @OlogyPolitics

 

Advertisements
Tagged , , , ,

GOP Feels [Coming Soon] About Immigration

(Read the full article here: GOP Feels [Coming Soon] About Immigration)

Bloomberg News keeps the good news coming for Barack Obama. Its most recent pollshows Obama opening up a significant 13 point lead over Mitt Romney, Obama’s largest lead since the antediluvian era known as the Maverick Age.

Yes, you should view these numbers skeptically. Bloomberg’s outsized numbers have outlier written all over them. Just yesterday, Gallup had Obama at 45 and Romney at 46; even given that Gallup leans right, that’s still a huge disparity between polls released one day apart…Read More

 

Follow on Ology: Evan McMurry |  PoliticOlogy

Follow on Twitter: @evanmcmurry  |  @OlogyPolitics

 

Tagged , , , ,

The Wisconsin Recall Effort: An Autopsy

Welp, I promised y’all an autopsy, and here it is. 

First, I guess, the good news: Wisconsin Dems may have taken the state Senate. As of this writing, challenger John Lehman had a fingernail lead over state Senator Van Wanggard. Winning that seat would flip the Senate to the Democrats, and force Walker to govern more to the center out of political necessity… Read More.

Politics moves fast. PoliticOlogy types faster. Join PoliticOlogy or follow Evan McMurry for news, analysis and commentary.

Follow on Twitter: Evan McMurry @evanmcmurry  |  PoliticOlogy @OlogyPolitics

Tagged , , , ,

Walker Leads Barrett By 7 In Latest Poll

Scott Walker appears to be maintaining his lead over challenger Tom Barrett, despite Democrat-friendly polls that were purporting to show the two in a dead heat.

Despite numerous polls showing Walker pulling away with the lead, Democrats had been adamant that internal polling told a different story, with a poll coming out this morning from Celinda Lake, a Democratic pollster, that had the two split at 49% apiece. Democrats and labor groups said the previous polls had been taken before Barrett and a slew of DNC money were able to run ads to counter the onslaught of ads from Walker, who has $30 million and a head start in his favor… Read more.

Related: Is Scott Walker Manipulating Wisconsin Job Data?

Join: PoliticOlogy

Follow: Evan McMurry @evanmcmurry  |  PoliticOlogy @OlogyPolitics

Tagged , , , ,

New Politico Poll Proves America Knows Nothing About Anything

 

Politico / George Washington University poll shows Mitt Romney and Barack Obama all tied up six months before the general election, with Romney leading Obama 48/47 among likely voters, within the margin of error. Something tells me we’re going to see a lot more of these dead heat polls between now and early November, in which we have to parse the numbers for anything meaningful. So let’s parse!…Read More

Join: PoliticOlogy

Follow: Evan McMurry @evanmcmurry  |  PoliticOlogy @OlogyPolitics

Tagged , , ,

Gallup Poll: Romney And Obama In Dead Heat

 

A new Gallup poll of the general electorate shows Romney and Obama in a statistical tie, with 47% of registered voters going for Romney to 45% for Obama. Romney gained 90% of the GOP voters polled. Here are your takeaways…Read More

 

Join: ElectionOlogy

Follow: Evan McMurry @evanmcmurry  |  PoliticOlogy @OlogyPolitics

 

Tagged , , ,

Poll: Obama and Romney Tied (Not Really)

 

This poll is the first to be taken since Santorum’s exit for the race. Expect an uptick in Romney’s numbers over the next few weeks, as Santorum’s followers slowly schlump their way from his DIY tent to Romney’s mansion (bring a flask)…Read More

Related: Poll: Will Obama’s Populism Hurt Him With Swing Voters?

Like: PoliticOlogy on Facebook

Follow: Evan McMurry @evanmcmurry  |  PoliticOlogy @OlogyPolitics

Tagged ,

Poll: Americans Down on the Supreme Court, Gas Prices

 

We’ve hashed out the main takeaways from the ABC News/Washington Post poll, but buried a bit further down are some interesting findings on Americans’ view of the Supreme Court and Barack Obama’s handling of gas prices.

First of all, because nobody, including Obama, can just wait until the Supreme Court hands down its decision on Obamacare, we have this…Read More

Related: Poll: Will Obama’s Populism Hurt Him With Swing Voters?

Join: ElectionOlogy

Follow: Evan McMurry @evanmcmurry  |  PoliticOlogy @OlogyPolitics 

Tagged , , , , ,

Ryan’s Budget Set to Doom Republicans (Again)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Paul Ryan is rolling out his new budget this week, and in most substantive policy terms, it’s a repeat of last year’s version, Path To Prosperity (even the ad campaigns are near-identical).

This is, according to conventional wisdom, terrible for Republicans. Though popular with party purists, Path To Prosperity landed last year with a thud; Democrats, with a little help from everybody’s favorite wacky uncle, were able to use to paint the Republicans as austere bulls in the Medicare china shop, and even picked up a surprise House seat from the fallout.

But did the budget actually hurt Republicans, or is this a case of ye olde echo chamber? In other words, did Chris Matthews and Chris Cizilla repeat the mantra that this budget was political poison so many times that it became accepted as true without actually being true?…Read More

Tagged , , , , ,